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Potash

K saltsPotashMined and manufactured potassium salts
A sample of potash
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Photo http://resourcescommittee.house.gov/subcommittees/emr/usgsweb/photogallery/ [ dead link ] English Wikipedia, original up. “PotashUSGOV.jpg.” Public domain. Wikimedia Commons. File page

What it is

Mined and manufactured potassium salts.

“salts that contain potassium in water-soluble form”

Source: Wikipedia contributors, Potash (composition line) (text as saved)

On the USGS 2025 List of Critical Minerals. Figures: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 (data release, public domain). Estimates are USGS's; check the USGS chapter for notes. Each panel names its source; full citations are in the methodology source register.

Net import reliance, 202592%share of U.S. use met by imports (USGS)Net import reliance: 2021 93%, 2022 92%, 2023 93%, 2024 94%, 2025 92%
2021: 93%2025: 92%
Top producer, 2025Canada31% of world production (USGS)
Top-three concentration64%of world production: Canada, Russia, China. Concentrated.
U.S. imports, 2025$3.4Bunder the main trade codes for this mineral (Census; can include other goods)
Policy and funding items0tracked for Potash; 1 federal awards already made

Overview

The headline numbers: how much the U.S. depends on imports and how concentrated supply is.

How much does the U.S. import?

92%

of U.S. potash use was met by imports in 2025 (USGS net import reliance).

Net import reliance: 2021 93%, 2022 92%, 2023 93%, 2024 94%, 2025 92%
2021: 93%2025: 92%

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)

Did you know?

Potassium metal was first made in 1807 by electrolysis of caustic potash (potassium hydroxide).

Checked against two independent sources. Verified 2026-10-26.
Sources: Wikipedia · Science History Institute (Wikipedia text is CC BY-SA)

How concentrated is supply?

64% of world production comes from three countries (Canada, Russia, China). Concentrated.

DiversifiedConcentratedHighly concentrated

Thirds of the bar: under 33%, 33 to 65%, 66% and over. Our own rule of thumb, not a USGS rating.

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)

Supply

Who produces it, where the reserves are, where U.S. imports come from, and how U.S. supply has moved.

Who has it, and who digs it?

Where it is produced, 2025

Canada31%
Russia20%
China13%
Belarus12%
Germany6%
Laos5%

Where the reserves are (Reserves, Recoverable ore)

Canada44%
Belarus32%
United States9%
Brazil0%

Share of the world total as printed by USGS (rounded). Production and reserves are different things: reserves are what is economic to mine. Hover or focus a bar for its value, or switch to the table view.

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)

Where U.S. imports come from

Choose a data set, then a view. A country keeps the same color in every chart on this page. Grey means other countries, or a country beyond the seven colors (always labeled). Hover or focus a mark for its value, or use the table view.

USGS sharesCensus dollars
Flow of All forms into the United StatesCanada79%Russia12%Israel3%Other countries6%United Statesimports
Canada79%
Russia12%
Israel3%
Other countries6%
Share of All forms by country79%Canada
  • Canada79%
  • Russia12%
  • Israel3%
  • Other countries6%
CountryShare of U.S. importsShare of this chart
Canada79%79.0%
Russia12%12.0%
Israel3%3.0%
Other countries6%6.0%

Average share of U.S. imports of all forms, 2021–24, as printed by USGS (rounded, so shares may not sum to 100). Other countries are USGS's own grouping.

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)

Flow of 3104 Mineral or chemical… into the United StatesCanada85% · $2.9BRussia9% · $309.8MIsrael3% · $102.4MGermany2% · $51.7MBelgium0% · $12.6MUnited Kingdom0% · $7.9MAll other countries1% · $19.0MUnited Statesimports
Canada85% · $2.9B
Russia9% · $309.8M
Israel3% · $102.4M
Germany2% · $51.7M
Belgium0% · $12.6M
United Kingdom0% · $7.9M
All other countries1% · $19.0M
Share of 3104 Mineral or chemical… by country85%Canada
  • Canada85% · $2.9B
  • Russia9% · $309.8M
  • Israel3% · $102.4M
  • Germany2% · $51.7M
  • Belgium0% · $12.6M
  • United Kingdom0% · $7.9M
  • All other countries1% · $19.0M
Change in import shares, Calendar 2025 to Jan to Aug 2026Calendar 2025Jan to Aug 2026Canada 85%88% CanadaRussia 9%6% RussiaIsrael 3%2% IsraelGermany 2%1% GermanyBelgium 0%1% BelgiumUnited Kingdom 0%1% United Kingdom
CountryU.S. imports, 2025Share of this chart
Canada85% · $2.9B85.2%
Russia9% · $309.8M9.1%
Israel3% · $102.4M3.0%
Germany2% · $51.7M1.5%
Belgium0% · $12.6M0.4%
United Kingdom0% · $7.9M0.2%
All other countries1% · $19.0M0.6%

U.S. general imports (customs value) in calendar 2025 under HS 3104; countries beyond the top six are grouped. The code can include goods beyond this mineral. The Shift view compares each country's share of 2025 with its share of Jan to Aug 2026 (shares of each period's total).

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Trade API: U.S. imports by HS code and country (calendar 2025; Jan to Aug 2026) (data months 2025-12, 2026-08)

Price

Price, average, f.o.b. mine, dollars per metric ton of K2O equivalent: All products

Price, average, f.o.b. mine, dollars per metric ton of K2O equivalent: All products: 2021 1,120, 2022 1,790, 2023 1,250, 2024 1,150, 2025 1,20020211,12020221,79020231,25020241,15020251,200

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)

Trade and tariffs

Tariff codes and the countries behind U.S. imports and exports.

Trade codes and tariffs

HTS codeWhat it coversNormal rateColumn 2 rate
3104Mineral or chemical fertilizers, potassicFreeFree

Rates from the U.S. Harmonized Tariff Schedule (USITC, saved 2026-10-26). The normal rate is column 1 general; column 2 applies to countries without normal trade relations. A range means different products under the code have different rates. Section 232, Section 301, emergency tariffs and antidumping or countervailing duties are set in separate notices and are not shown. Look up any code at hts.usitc.gov. These are the main codes for this mineral, not a complete list.

Source: U.S. International Trade Commission, Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States, general and column 2 rates (edition current when saved)

U.S. trade by country

U.S. imports in 2025 by source country, code 3104

Canada85% · $2.9B
Russia9% · $309.8M
Israel3% · $102.4M
Germany2% · $51.7M
Belgium0% · $12.6M
United Kingdom0% · $7.9M

U.S. exports in 2025 by destination, code 3104

Brazil20% · $268.5M
China20% · $258.7M
Korea, South11% · $143.2M
Australia8% · $109.9M
Taiwan6% · $81.0M
Mexico5% · $64.9M

3104 Mineral or chemical fertilizers, potassic

Imports 2025$3.39 billion
Exports 2025$1.32 billion
Duty collected 2025$396,380
Imports Jan to Aug 2026$2.24 billion

Top import sources Canada 85%, Russia 9%, Israel 3%

Top export destinations Brazil 20%, China 20%, Korea, South 11%

U.S. Census Bureau International Trade API, saved 2026-10-26. Imports are general imports (customs value) and exports are total exports, in U.S. dollars. Duty collected is Census's calculated duty on imports for consumption. Figures cover every 10-digit product under the code, so they can include goods beyond this mineral, and the duty shown is not split into Section 232, Section 301 or antidumping duties. Bars show the largest code for each direction. Group rows such as the EU or OECD are left out so no country is counted twice.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Trade API: U.S. imports and exports by HS code and country (calendar 2025, and January to Aug 2026) (data months 2025-12, 2026-08)

Value chain and risk

Where in the chain the bottlenecks sit, and what other governments and sources say about supply risk.

Value chain: where the bottlenecks are

Mining

Most U.S. potash comes from southeastern New Mexico (two underground mines and one solution mine); a Michigan company had a conditional $1.26 billion DOE loan commitment for a new mine. (U.S. activity)

The source says
“The majority of U.S. production was from southeastern New Mexico, where two companies operated two underground mines and one deep-well solution mine.”
“In January 2025, a Michigan-based company received a conditional commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy for a $1.26 billion loan to help finance the development of a new potash and salt mine in Osceola County, MI.”

Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Potash (PDF page 150) (2026-02)

Ore processing and primary recovery

New Mexico sylvinite and langbeinite ores are beneficiated by flotation, recrystallization, heavy-media separation and solar evaporation. (U.S. activity)

The source says
“Sylvinite and langbeinite ores in New Mexico were beneficiated by flotation, dissolution-recrystallization, heavy-media separation, solar evaporation, and (or) combinations of these processes.”

Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Potash (PDF page 150) (2026-02)

Refining and separation

No sourced data yet.

Metal, alloy and chemical bottleneck

Canada supplied 79% of U.S. potash imports in 2021-24. (partly U.S.)

The source says
“Import Sources (2021–24): Canada, 79%; Russia, 12%; Israel, 3%; and other, 6%.”

Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Potash (PDF page 150) (2026-02)

Components and end use

The fertilizer industry used about 85% of U.S. potash sales. (U.S. role not stated)

The source says
“The fertilizer industry used about 85% of U.S. potash sales”

Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Potash (PDF page 150) (2026-02)

Recycling

USGS lists potash recycling as none. (no U.S. activity)

The source says
“Recycling: None.”

Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, Potash (PDF page 150) (2026-02)

Pilot. Summaries are ours, from official pages; each quoted passage is checked against the saved page. “Bottleneck” (orange dot) is shown only where the quote shows one country dominating the stage or the United States relying on imports for it. “No sourced data yet” means we have not found a source, not that the stage is unproblematic.

Policy and funding

Federal items we track for this mineral, each linked to its original.

Federal awards already made

Proposal title: evaporites in western oklahoma
University of Oklahoma · Department of the Interior · $330K obligated · started 2026-03-01
Source: usaspending.gov, retrieved 2026-10-29

The 1 largest of 1 AI-tagged awards from USAspending (last 12 months, found by keyword; some are only loosely about this mineral). See all awards for Potash.

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, USAspending.gov: spending by award (contracts and grants, last 12 months) (award start dates per item)

Data tables

The USGS figures behind the charts. Click a column heading to sort.

Potash: USGS tables

United States

MeasureUnit20242025
Net import reliance as a percentage of apparent consumptionpercent9492
Production, marketablethousand metric tons410500
Sales by producers, marketablethousand metric tons420460
Imports for consumptionthousand metric tons5,9705,600
Exportsthousand metric tons150170
Consumption, apparentthousand metric tons6,2005,900
Price, average, f.o.b. mine, dollars per metric ton of K2O equivalent: All productsdollars per metric ton1,1501,200
Price, average, f.o.b. mine, dollars per metric ton of K2O equivalent: MOPdollars per metric ton690600
Employment, mine and mill, numbernumber900900

World production (thousand metric tons; top 6 of 12, plus other countries)

Country20242025Share
Canada14,40015,00031%
Russia10,00010,00020%
China6,3006,30013%
Belarus5,0006,00012%
Germany2,5003,0006%
Laos2,4002,4005%
Other countries3503501%

World total 2025: 49,000 thousand metric tons (as printed by USGS, rounded).

World reserves: Reserves, Recoverable ore (thousand metric tons; top 6 of 12, plus other countries)

Country2025
Canada4,500,000
Belarus3,300,000
United States970,000
Brazil10,000
ChileNA
ChinaNA
Other countries1,500,000

World reserves: Reserves: K2O equivalent (thousand metric tons; top 6 of 12, plus other countries)

Country2025
Russia2,000,000
Canada1,100,000
Laos1,000,000
Belarus750,000
United States220,000
China200,000
Other countries300,000

U.S. import sources: All (percent of imports, 2021–24)

CountryShare (%)
Canada79
Russia12
Israel3
Other countries6

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Potash (February 2026)